NBA Betting Predictions – Thursday March 3rd, 2016

Predictions record 55-49 (52.9%)

I was correct on my pick yesterday evening as the Nuggets (-7) were victorious at home 117-107 versus the Lakers. I’m interested in 1 game on the schedule tonight.

Sacramento Kings (24-35) @ Dallas Mavericks (33-28)

American Airlines Center   8:30pm Eastern tip

 

 

 

Kings probable starters: G – Rajon Rondo  G – Ben McLemore  C – DeMarcus Cousins  F – Omri Casspi  F – Quincy Acy

Mavericks probable starters: G – Deron Williams  G – Wesley Matthews  C – Zaza Pachulia  F – Chandler Parsons  F – Dirk Nowitzki

Overview: The Sacramento Kings have dropped 4 in a row after a 104-98 loss at the Memphis Grizzlies last night. The team shot 47.6% from the field. They missed 17 of their 26 attempted shots beyond the arc, a 34.6% clip. They shot 55% from the free throw line as they were 11 of 20. They dominated the glass as they out-rebounded their opposition 57-43. They had 31 assists in the game. They turned the ball over 24 times. They scored 12 fast break points and 34 points in the paint. They were outscored 28-15 in the 2nd quarter. Starting center DeMarcus Cousins tallied a double-double as he poured in 18 points and pulled down 16 rebounds. He also had 6 assists, 3 steals, and 2 blocks. He shot 7 of 18 from the field, 3 of 6 from the free throw line, and 1 of 3 from the 3 point line. Backup point guard Darren Collison came off the bench to net 17 points. He was 5 of 10 from the field, 3 of 4 from the free throw line, and 4 of 6 from the 3 point line. Backup shooting guard Marco Belinelli chipped in with 16 points and 4 assists. He was 7 of 15 from the field and 2 of 7 from the 3 point line. Starting small forward Omri Casspi contributed with 12 points and 7 rebounds. He shot 4 of 7 from the field, 3 of 4 from the free throw line, and 1 of 3 from the 3 point line. Tonight is their 30th road game of the season. They are 10-19 on the road this season. Tonight is their 13th game versus a Southwest division opponent. They are 2-10 versus Southwest division opponents. Tonight is the 2nd game of a back to back. They are 2-12 in the 2nd game this season. Tonight is also the 2nd game of a 4 game road trip. Their next game is Saturday at the San Antonio Spurs. The Dallas Mavericks are on a 3-game winning streak as they were victorious 121-108 at home versus the Orlando Magic on Tuesday night. The team shot 55.8% from the field. They made 9 of their 19 3-point shot attempts, good for 47.4%. They shot 83.9% from the free throw line as they were 26 of 31. They were out-rebounded 49-43. They had 27 assists during the game. The forced the Magic in to 16 turnovers. They scored 6 fast break points and 46 points in the paint. They led 69-61 at the half. Starting shooting guard Wesley Matthews led the way with 21 points, 5 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 steals. He shot 8 of 12 from the field, 4 of 5 from the free throw line, and 1 of 4 from the 3 point line. Starting power forward Dirk Nowitzki produced 19 points, 3 rebounds, and 2 assists. He was 7 of 13 from the field, 4 of 5 from the free throw line, and 1 of 3 from the 3 point line. Starting center Zaza Pachulia notched a double-double with 17 points and 10 rebounds. He also had 2 assists. He was 6 of 8 from the field and 5 of 5 from the free throw line. Starting small forward Chandler Parsons contributed with 17 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists. He shot 6 of 12 from the field, 2 of 2 from the free throw line, and 3 of 4 from the 3 point line. Tonight is their 32nd home game of the season. They are 19-12 at home this season. Tonight is their 13th game versus a Pacific division opponent. They are 9-3 versus Pacific division opponents. Tonight is the final game of a 6 game home stand. They are 4-1 during the current home stand. Their next game is Sunday at the Denver Nuggets.

Sacramento and Dallas split their first 2 meetings this season. After tonight the Kings and Mavericks play 1 more time this season: March 27th at Sacramento.

Prediction: The Kings are 5 games back of the last playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Mavericks are currently the 6th seed in the Western Conference playoffs race, 3.5 games behind the 5th seeded Grizzlies and a half game ahead of the Blazers. The Mavericks have won their last 2 home games by an average margin of 20 points per game. I’m using that stat to predict the Mavericks will cover the spread tonight at home.

 

My take: Mavericks -7 (BetOnline.ag)

Written by: Jeff P



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